Tyler Warren vs Isaiah Likely
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Warren by 0.4 projected points (12.5 vs 12.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyler Warren faces PIT, the 9th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Isaiah Likely faces WAS, the 4th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Warren, and it isn't close: 20.6 points of value over replacement separate them (12.7 vs -7.9).
The draft market agrees: Tyler Warren goes first at ADP 66.1 vs 136.6 for Isaiah Likely.
Health note: Isaiah Likely carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tyler WarrenIND | Isaiah LikelyNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | PIT | WAS | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 12.5 | 12.0 | Warren +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #9 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 204.7 | 184.1 | Warren +20.6 pts |
| Points per game | 12.0 | 10.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 12.7 | -7.9 | Warren +20.6 |
| Overall rank | #61 | #76 | Warren by 15 |
| Position rank | TE8 | TE9 | |
| Market ADP | 66.1 | 136.6 | Likely +70.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Tyler Warren or Isaiah Likely in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Warren by 0.4 projected points (12.5 vs 12.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyler Warren or Isaiah Likely in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Warren. He projects 204.7 fantasy points with 12.7 value over replacement, vs 184.1 points and -7.9 for Isaiah Likely (TE, PPR).