Jaxson Dart vs Geno Smith
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaxson Dart by 0.3 projected points (13.7 vs 13.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jaxson Dart faces HOU, the 28th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Geno Smith faces MIA, the 15th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaxson Dart, and it isn't close: 29.9 points of value over replacement separate them (-35.4 vs -65.3).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Jaxson Dart carries an injury flag of IR (Knee - Meniscus), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaxson DartNYG | Geno SmithNYJ | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | HOU | MIA | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 13.7 | 13.4 | Dart +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #28 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 257.5 | 227.6 | Dart +29.9 pts |
| Points per game | 15.1 | 13.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -35.4 | -65.3 | Dart +29.9 |
| Overall rank | #113 | #147 | Dart by 34 |
| Position rank | QB18 | QB20 | |
| Market ADP | 118.2 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | - | |
| Bye week | 8 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start Jaxson Dart or Geno Smith in Week 7?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaxson Dart by 0.3 projected points (13.7 vs 13.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaxson Dart or Geno Smith in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaxson Dart. He projects 257.5 fantasy points with -35.4 value over replacement, vs 227.6 points and -65.3 for Geno Smith (QB, PPR).