Garrett Wilson vs Mike Evans
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Mike Evans this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (13.5 vs 11.6).
Mike Evans faces ATL, the 1st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Garrett Wilson faces MIA, the 21st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Garrett Wilson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 7, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Garrett Wilson by 0.8 points of value over replacement (14.8 vs 14.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Garrett Wilson goes first at ADP 26.8 vs 57.9 for Mike Evans.
Health note: Mike Evans carries an injury flag of Out (Achilles), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Garrett WilsonNYJ | Mike EvansSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | MIA | ATL | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 11.6 | 13.5 | Evans +1.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #21 | #1 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 200.1 | 199.3 | Wilson +0.8 pts |
| Points per game | 11.8 | 11.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 14.8 | 14.0 | Wilson +0.8 |
| Overall rank | #58 | #59 | Wilson by 1 |
| Position rank | WR21 | WR22 | |
| Market ADP | 26.8 | 57.9 | Evans +31.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Mike Evans in Week 7?
Start Mike Evans this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (13.5 vs 11.6).
Should I draft Garrett Wilson or Mike Evans in 2026 fantasy football?
Garrett Wilson. He projects 200.1 fantasy points with 14.8 value over replacement, vs 199.3 points and 14.0 for Mike Evans (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.