Tee Higgins vs Mike Evans
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Evans by 0.9 projected points (13.5 vs 12.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Mike Evans faces ATL, the 1st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Tee Higgins faces BAL, the 10th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tee Higgins ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 7, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tee Higgins by 4.4 points of value over replacement (18.4 vs 14.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Tee Higgins goes first at ADP 37.1 vs 57.9 for Mike Evans.
Health note: Mike Evans carries an injury flag of Out (Achilles), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tee HigginsCIN | Mike EvansSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | BAL | ATL | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 12.6 | 13.5 | Evans +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #10 | #1 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 203.7 | 199.3 | Higgins +4.4 pts |
| Points per game | 12.0 | 11.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 18.4 | 14.0 | Higgins +4.4 |
| Overall rank | #54 | #59 | Higgins by 5 |
| Position rank | WR19 | WR22 | |
| Market ADP | 37.1 | 57.9 | Evans +20.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Tee Higgins or Mike Evans in Week 7?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Evans by 0.9 projected points (13.5 vs 12.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tee Higgins or Mike Evans in 2026 fantasy football?
Tee Higgins. He projects 203.7 fantasy points with 18.4 value over replacement, vs 199.3 points and 14.0 for Mike Evans (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.