Tee Higgins vs Garrett Wilson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tee Higgins by 3.1 points of value over replacement (33.0 vs 29.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Garrett Wilson first (ADP 25.7 vs 36.8). If the model is right, Tee Higgins is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Tee HigginsCIN | Garrett WilsonNYJ | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 205.7 | 202.6 | Higgins +3.1 pts |
| Points per game | 12.1 | 11.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 33.0 | 29.8 | Higgins +3.1 |
| Overall rank | #44 | #47 | Higgins by 3 |
| Position rank | WR15 | WR17 | |
| Market ADP | 36.8 | 25.7 | Higgins +11.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 13 |
Should I draft Tee Higgins or Garrett Wilson in 2026 fantasy football?
Tee Higgins. He projects 205.7 fantasy points with 33.0 value over replacement, vs 202.6 points and 29.8 for Garrett Wilson (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.