Tee Higgins vs Garrett Wilson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Tee Higgins this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.6 projected points (12.5 vs 10.9).
Tee Higgins faces MIA, the 14th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Garrett Wilson faces CLE, the 26th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tee Higgins: a clear but modest edge of 9.8 points of value over replacement (28.8 vs 19.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Garrett Wilson first (ADP 26.8 vs 37.1). If the model is right, Tee Higgins is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Tee Higgins carries an injury flag of Questionable (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tee HigginsCIN | Garrett WilsonNYJ | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | MIA | CLE | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 12.5 | 10.9 | Higgins +1.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #14 | #26 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 206.8 | 197.0 | Higgins +9.8 pts |
| Points per game | 12.2 | 11.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 28.8 | 19.0 | Higgins +9.8 |
| Overall rank | #45 | #53 | Higgins by 8 |
| Position rank | WR16 | WR19 | |
| Market ADP | 37.1 | 26.8 | Higgins +10.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Tee Higgins or Garrett Wilson in Week 5?
Start Tee Higgins this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.6 projected points (12.5 vs 10.9).
Should I draft Tee Higgins or Garrett Wilson in 2026 fantasy football?
Tee Higgins. He projects 206.8 fantasy points with 28.8 value over replacement, vs 197.0 points and 19.0 for Garrett Wilson (WR, PPR).