Tee Higgins vs Terry McLaurin
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terry McLaurin by 0.2 projected points (12.6 vs 12.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Terry McLaurin faces NYG, the 8th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Tee Higgins faces MIA, the 16th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tee Higgins ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tee Higgins: a clear but modest edge of 5.2 points of value over replacement (26.5 vs 21.3).
The draft market agrees: Tee Higgins goes first at ADP 37.1 vs 48.1 for Terry McLaurin.
Health note: Tee Higgins carries an injury flag of Questionable (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Terry McLaurin carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tee HigginsCIN | Terry McLaurinWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | MIA | NYG | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 12.4 | 12.6 | McLaurin +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #16 | #8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 206.8 | 201.6 | Higgins +5.2 pts |
| Points per game | 12.2 | 11.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 26.5 | 21.3 | Higgins +5.2 |
| Overall rank | #48 | #53 | Higgins by 5 |
| Position rank | WR18 | WR20 | |
| Market ADP | 37.1 | 48.1 | McLaurin +11.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | Out |
Should I start Tee Higgins or Terry McLaurin in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terry McLaurin by 0.2 projected points (12.6 vs 12.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tee Higgins or Terry McLaurin in 2026 fantasy football?
Tee Higgins. He projects 206.8 fantasy points with 26.5 value over replacement, vs 201.6 points and 21.3 for Terry McLaurin (WR, PPR).