Head to head · WR · 2026
Garrett Wilson vs DeVonta Smith
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Garrett Wilson
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Garrett Wilson by 0.6 points of value over replacement (29.8 vs 29.2) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Garrett Wilson goes first at ADP 26.5 vs 28.9 for DeVonta Smith.
| Garrett Wilson | DeVonta Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | NYJ | PHI |
| Overall rank | #47 | #48 |
| Position rank | WR17 | WR18 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 202.6 | 202.0 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 29.8 | 29.2 |
| Market ADP | 26.5 | 28.9 |
Should I draft Garrett Wilson or DeVonta Smith in 2026 fantasy football?
Garrett Wilson. He projects 202.6 fantasy points with 29.8 value over replacement, vs 202.0 points and 29.2 for DeVonta Smith (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.