Garrett Wilson vs DeVonta Smith
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR17
Garrett Wilson
202.6
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR18
DeVonta Smith
202.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Garrett Wilson by 0.6 points of value over replacement (29.8 vs 29.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Garrett Wilson goes first at ADP 25.7 vs 29.8 for DeVonta Smith.
| Garrett WilsonNYJ | DeVonta SmithPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 202.6 | 202.0 | Wilson +0.6 pts |
| Points per game | 11.9 | 11.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 29.8 | 29.2 | Wilson +0.6 |
| Overall rank | #47 | #48 | Wilson by 1 |
| Position rank | WR17 | WR18 | |
| Market ADP | 25.7 | 29.8 | Smith +4.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 10 |
Should I draft Garrett Wilson or DeVonta Smith in 2026 fantasy football?
Garrett Wilson. He projects 202.6 fantasy points with 29.8 value over replacement, vs 202.0 points and 29.2 for DeVonta Smith (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.