Rashee Rice vs DeVonta Smith
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR16
Rashee Rice
203.4
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR18
DeVonta Smith
202.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Rashee Rice by 1.4 points of value over replacement (30.7 vs 29.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Rashee Rice goes first at ADP 14.8 vs 29.8 for DeVonta Smith.
| Rashee RiceKAN | DeVonta SmithPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 203.4 | 202.0 | Rice +1.4 pts |
| Points per game | 12.0 | 11.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 30.7 | 29.2 | Rice +1.4 |
| Overall rank | #46 | #48 | Rice by 2 |
| Position rank | WR16 | WR18 | |
| Market ADP | 14.8 | 29.8 | Smith +15.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 10 |
Should I draft Rashee Rice or DeVonta Smith in 2026 fantasy football?
Rashee Rice. He projects 203.4 fantasy points with 30.7 value over replacement, vs 202.0 points and 29.2 for DeVonta Smith (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.