Eli Heidenreich vs Ollie Gordon
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Eli Heidenreich by 1.0 projected points (7.3 vs 6.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Eli Heidenreich faces CIN, the 14th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ollie Gordon faces IND, the 27th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Eli Heidenreich by 0.5 points of value over replacement (-23.8 vs -24.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Eli HeidenreichPIT | Ollie GordonMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | CIN | IND | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 7.3 | 6.3 | Heidenreich +1.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #14 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 122.9 | 122.4 | Heidenreich +0.5 pts |
| Points per game | 7.2 | 7.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -23.8 | -24.3 | Heidenreich +0.5 |
| Overall rank | #99 | #101 | Heidenreich by 2 |
| Position rank | RB36 | RB37 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 9 | 6 |
Should I start Eli Heidenreich or Ollie Gordon in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Eli Heidenreich by 1.0 projected points (7.3 vs 6.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Eli Heidenreich or Ollie Gordon in 2026 fantasy football?
Eli Heidenreich. He projects 122.9 fantasy points with -23.8 value over replacement, vs 122.4 points and -24.3 for Ollie Gordon (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.