Deebo Samuel vs KC Concepcion
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR50
Deebo Samuel
130.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR51
KC Concepcion
127.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Deebo Samuel by 2.2 points of value over replacement (-50.3 vs -52.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Deebo Samuel goes first at ADP 107.3 vs 121.0 for KC Concepcion.
| Deebo SamuelWAS | KC ConcepcionCLE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 130.0 | 127.8 | Samuel +2.2 pts |
| Points per game | 7.6 | 7.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -50.3 | -52.4 | Samuel +2.2 |
| Overall rank | #133 | #135 | Samuel by 2 |
| Position rank | WR50 | WR51 | |
| Market ADP | 107.3 | 121.0 | Concepcion +13.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 |
Should I draft Deebo Samuel or KC Concepcion in 2026 fantasy football?
Deebo Samuel. He projects 130.0 fantasy points with -50.3 value over replacement, vs 127.8 points and -52.4 for KC Concepcion (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.