KC Concepcion vs De'Zhaun Stribling
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans De'Zhaun Stribling by 0.9 projected points (7.7 vs 6.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
De'Zhaun Stribling faces DEN, the 13th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. KC Concepcion faces PIT, the 28th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks KC Concepcion ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans KC Concepcion by 1.7 points of value over replacement (-51.5 vs -53.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: KC Concepcion goes first at ADP 118.6 vs 124.0 for De'Zhaun Stribling.
Health note: De'Zhaun Stribling carries an injury flag of IR (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| KC ConcepcionCLE | De'Zhaun StriblingSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | PIT | DEN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.7 | 7.7 | Stribling +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #28 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 128.8 | 127.1 | Concepcion +1.7 pts |
| Points per game | 7.6 | 7.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -51.5 | -53.2 | Concepcion +1.7 |
| Overall rank | #127 | #129 | Concepcion by 2 |
| Position rank | WR54 | WR56 | |
| Market ADP | 118.6 | 124.0 | Stribling +5.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start KC Concepcion or De'Zhaun Stribling in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans De'Zhaun Stribling by 0.9 projected points (7.7 vs 6.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft KC Concepcion or De'Zhaun Stribling in 2026 fantasy football?
KC Concepcion. He projects 128.8 fantasy points with -51.5 value over replacement, vs 127.1 points and -53.2 for De'Zhaun Stribling (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.