KC Concepcion vs Kayshon Boutte
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kayshon Boutte by 0.7 projected points (7.4 vs 6.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kayshon Boutte faces JAX, the 19th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. KC Concepcion faces CAR, the 31st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks KC Concepcion ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes KC Concepcion: a clear but modest edge of 5.5 points of value over replacement (-44.0 vs -49.5).
The draft market agrees: KC Concepcion goes first at ADP 118.6 vs 158.7 for Kayshon Boutte.
| KC ConcepcionCLE | Kayshon BoutteNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | CAR | JAX | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 6.7 | 7.4 | Boutte +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #31 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 133.2 | 127.7 | Concepcion +5.5 pts |
| Points per game | 7.8 | 7.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -44.0 | -49.5 | Concepcion +5.5 |
| Overall rank | #124 | #129 | Concepcion by 5 |
| Position rank | WR54 | WR56 | |
| Market ADP | 118.6 | 158.7 | Boutte +40.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I start KC Concepcion or Kayshon Boutte in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kayshon Boutte by 0.7 projected points (7.4 vs 6.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft KC Concepcion or Kayshon Boutte in 2026 fantasy football?
KC Concepcion. He projects 133.2 fantasy points with -44.0 value over replacement, vs 127.7 points and -49.5 for Kayshon Boutte (WR, PPR).