Deebo Samuel vs Matthew Golden
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR49
Deebo Samuel
130.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR51
Matthew Golden
124.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Deebo Samuel: a clear but modest edge of 5.6 points of value over replacement (-48.1 vs -53.7).
The draft market agrees: Deebo Samuel goes first at ADP 106.0 vs 107.8 for Matthew Golden.
| Deebo SamuelWAS | Matthew GoldenGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 130.0 | 124.3 | Samuel +5.6 pts |
| Points per game | 7.6 | 7.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -48.1 | -53.7 | Samuel +5.6 |
| Overall rank | #132 | #136 | Samuel by 4 |
| Position rank | WR49 | WR51 | |
| Market ADP | 106.0 | 107.8 | Golden +1.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 |
Should I draft Deebo Samuel or Matthew Golden in 2026 fantasy football?
Deebo Samuel. He projects 130.0 fantasy points with -48.1 value over replacement, vs 124.3 points and -53.7 for Matthew Golden (WR, PPR).