Deebo Samuel vs Jayden Reed

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

WR49
Deebo Samuel
WAS · Bye 7
130.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR52
Jayden Reed
GNB · Bye 11
121.5
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Deebo Samuel: a clear but modest edge of 8.5 points of value over replacement (-48.1 vs -56.5).

The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jayden Reed first (ADP 95.0 vs 106.0). If the model is right, Deebo Samuel is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
Deebo SamuelWAS Jayden ReedGNB Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 130.0 121.5 Samuel +8.5 pts
Points per game 7.6 7.1
Value over replacement (VBD) -48.1 -56.5 Samuel +8.5
Overall rank #132 #138 Samuel by 6
Position rank WR49 WR52
Market ADP 106.0 95.0 Samuel +11.0 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 9 Rd 8
Bye week 7 11

Should I draft Deebo Samuel or Jayden Reed in 2026 fantasy football?

Deebo Samuel. He projects 130.0 fantasy points with -48.1 value over replacement, vs 121.5 points and -56.5 for Jayden Reed (WR, PPR).

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