Ollie Gordon vs David Montgomery
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start David Montgomery this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (7.6 vs 6.3).
David Montgomery faces CLE, the 5th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ollie Gordon faces IND, the 27th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Ollie Gordon ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Ollie Gordon by 3.4 points of value over replacement (-24.3 vs -27.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: David Montgomery carries an injury flag of Questionable (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Ollie GordonMIA | David MontgomeryHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | IND | CLE | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 6.3 | 7.6 | Montgomery +1.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #27 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 122.4 | 119.0 | Gordon +3.4 pts |
| Points per game | 7.2 | 7.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -24.3 | -27.7 | Gordon +3.4 |
| Overall rank | #101 | #105 | Gordon by 4 |
| Position rank | RB37 | RB39 | |
| Market ADP | - | 52.0 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Ollie Gordon or David Montgomery in Week 10?
Start David Montgomery this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (7.6 vs 6.3).
Should I draft Ollie Gordon or David Montgomery in 2026 fantasy football?
Ollie Gordon. He projects 122.4 fantasy points with -24.3 value over replacement, vs 119.0 points and -27.7 for David Montgomery (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.