Head to head · TE · 2026

Darren Waller vs Jonnu Smith

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

The model's pick
Darren Waller

This one is a coin flip. The model leans Darren Waller by 4.8 points of value over replacement (-77.5 vs -82.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.

The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.

Health note: Darren Waller carries an injury flag of Questionable (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.

Darren Waller Jonnu Smith Edge
Team MIA PIT
Overall rank #173 #183 Waller by 10
Position rank TE24 TE27
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 95.2 90.4 Waller +4.8 pts
Value over replacement (VBD) -77.5 -82.3 Waller +4.8
Market ADP N/A N/A
Injury flag Questionable None

Should I draft Darren Waller or Jonnu Smith in 2026 fantasy football?

Darren Waller. He projects 95.2 fantasy points with -77.5 value over replacement, vs 90.4 points and -82.3 for Jonnu Smith (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.