Dalton Schultz vs Mike Gesicki
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Gesicki by 0.8 projected points (10.6 vs 9.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Mike Gesicki faces MIA, the 5th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Dalton Schultz faces TEN, the 29th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Dalton Schultz ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dalton Schultz: a clear but modest edge of 14.3 points of value over replacement (-14.3 vs -28.6).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Dalton SchultzHOU | Mike GesickiCIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | TEN | MIA | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.8 | 10.6 | Gesicki +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #29 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 177.7 | 163.4 | Schultz +14.3 pts |
| Points per game | 10.5 | 9.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -14.3 | -28.6 | Schultz +14.3 |
| Overall rank | #85 | #105 | Schultz by 20 |
| Position rank | TE13 | TE16 | |
| Market ADP | 176.6 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 15 | - | |
| Bye week | 8 | 6 |
Should I start Dalton Schultz or Mike Gesicki in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Gesicki by 0.8 projected points (10.6 vs 9.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Dalton Schultz or Mike Gesicki in 2026 fantasy football?
Dalton Schultz. He projects 177.7 fantasy points with -14.3 value over replacement, vs 163.4 points and -28.6 for Mike Gesicki (TE, PPR).