Tyler Warren vs Dalton Kincaid
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start Dalton Kincaid this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (11.1 vs 9.7).
Dalton Kincaid faces NYJ, the 1st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Tyler Warren faces MIA, the 24th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tyler Warren ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Warren: a clear but modest edge of 12.7 points of value over replacement (-0.5 vs -13.2).
The draft market agrees: Tyler Warren goes first at ADP 66.1 vs 147.3 for Dalton Kincaid.
Health note: Dalton Kincaid carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tyler WarrenIND | Dalton KincaidBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | MIA | NYJ | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 9.7 | 11.1 | Kincaid +1.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #24 | #1 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 176.6 | 163.9 | Warren +12.7 pts |
| Points per game | 10.4 | 9.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -0.5 | -13.2 | Warren +12.7 |
| Overall rank | #74 | #88 | Warren by 14 |
| Position rank | TE9 | TE11 | |
| Market ADP | 66.1 | 147.3 | Kincaid +81.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Tyler Warren or Dalton Kincaid in Week 10?
Start Dalton Kincaid this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (11.1 vs 9.7).
Should I draft Tyler Warren or Dalton Kincaid in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Warren. He projects 176.6 fantasy points with -0.5 value over replacement, vs 163.9 points and -13.2 for Dalton Kincaid (TE, PPR).