Rome Odunze vs D.J. Moore
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans D.J. Moore by 0.4 projected points (11.6 vs 11.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
D.J. Moore faces LA, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Rome Odunze faces GB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Rome Odunze ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Rome Odunze by 2.9 points of value over replacement (-1.3 vs -4.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take D.J. Moore first (ADP 47.7 vs 54.4). If the model is right, Rome Odunze is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Rome OdunzeCHI | D.J. MooreBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | GB | LA | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 11.2 | 11.6 | Moore +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #5 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 177.1 | 174.2 | Odunze +2.9 pts |
| Points per game | 10.4 | 10.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -1.3 | -4.3 | Odunze +2.9 |
| Overall rank | #74 | #78 | Odunze by 4 |
| Position rank | WR26 | WR29 | |
| Market ADP | 54.4 | 47.7 | Odunze +6.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 |
Should I start Rome Odunze or D.J. Moore in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans D.J. Moore by 0.4 projected points (11.6 vs 11.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Rome Odunze or D.J. Moore in 2026 fantasy football?
Rome Odunze. He projects 177.1 fantasy points with -1.3 value over replacement, vs 174.2 points and -4.3 for D.J. Moore (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.