Hunter Henry vs Colston Loveland
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Hunter Henry by 0.6 projected points (7.9 vs 7.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Hunter Henry faces LV, the 6th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Colston Loveland faces GB, the 7th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Hunter Henry: a clear but modest edge of 9.5 points of value over replacement (-65.4 vs -74.9).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Colston Loveland first (ADP 54.0 vs 154.5). If the model is right, Hunter Henry is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Hunter HenryNWE | Colston LovelandCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | LV | GB | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 7.9 | 7.3 | Henry +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #6 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 126.6 | 117.1 | Henry +9.5 pts |
| Points per game | 7.4 | 6.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -65.4 | -74.9 | Henry +9.5 |
| Overall rank | #154 | #161 | Henry by 7 |
| Position rank | TE26 | TE27 | |
| Market ADP | 154.5 | 54.0 | Henry +100.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 10 |
Should I start Hunter Henry or Colston Loveland in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Hunter Henry by 0.6 projected points (7.9 vs 7.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Hunter Henry or Colston Loveland in 2026 fantasy football?
Hunter Henry. He projects 126.6 fantasy points with -65.4 value over replacement, vs 117.1 points and -74.9 for Colston Loveland (TE, PPR).