David Montgomery vs Chuba Hubbard

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

RB26
David Montgomery
HOU · Bye 8
149.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB28
Chuba Hubbard
CAR · Bye 5
140.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes David Montgomery: a clear but modest edge of 9.7 points of value over replacement (20.1 vs 10.4).

The draft market agrees: David Montgomery goes first at ADP 58.4 vs 79.0 for Chuba Hubbard.

Health note: Chuba Hubbard carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
David MontgomeryHOU Chuba HubbardCAR Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 149.8 140.1 Montgomery +9.7 pts
Points per game 8.8 8.2
Value over replacement (VBD) 20.1 10.4 Montgomery +9.7
Overall rank #56 #65 Montgomery by 9
Position rank RB26 RB28
Market ADP 58.4 79.0 Hubbard +20.6 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 5 Rd 7
Bye week 8 5
Injury flag None Questionable

Should I draft David Montgomery or Chuba Hubbard in 2026 fantasy football?

David Montgomery. He projects 149.8 fantasy points with 20.1 value over replacement, vs 140.1 points and 10.4 for Chuba Hubbard (RB, PPR).