David Montgomery vs Chris Rodriguez
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 0.9 projected points (7.6 vs 6.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
David Montgomery faces CLE, the 5th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Chris Rodriguez faces TEN, the 6th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes David Montgomery: a clear but modest edge of 13.5 points of value over replacement (-27.7 vs -41.2).
The draft market agrees: David Montgomery goes first at ADP 52.0 vs 156.3 for Chris Rodriguez.
Health note: David Montgomery carries an injury flag of Questionable (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
| David MontgomeryHOU | Chris RodriguezJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | CLE | TEN | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 7.6 | 6.7 | Montgomery +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #5 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 119.0 | 105.5 | Montgomery +13.5 pts |
| Points per game | 7.0 | 6.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -27.7 | -41.2 | Montgomery +13.5 |
| Overall rank | #105 | #124 | Montgomery by 19 |
| Position rank | RB39 | RB42 | |
| Market ADP | 52.0 | 156.3 | Rodriguez +104.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start David Montgomery or Chris Rodriguez in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 0.9 projected points (7.6 vs 6.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft David Montgomery or Chris Rodriguez in 2026 fantasy football?
David Montgomery. He projects 119.0 fantasy points with -27.7 value over replacement, vs 105.5 points and -41.2 for Chris Rodriguez (RB, PPR).