Josh Jacobs vs David Montgomery
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 0.6 projected points (7.6 vs 7.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
David Montgomery faces CLE, the 5th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Josh Jacobs faces MIN, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Josh Jacobs ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Jacobs by 2.9 points of value over replacement (-24.8 vs -27.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take David Montgomery first (ADP 52.0 vs 93.9). If the model is right, Josh Jacobs is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Josh Jacobs carries an injury flag of Out (Finger), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: David Montgomery carries an injury flag of Questionable (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Josh JacobsGNB | David MontgomeryHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | MIN | CLE | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 7.0 | 7.6 | Montgomery +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #22 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 121.9 | 119.0 | Jacobs +2.9 pts |
| Points per game | 7.2 | 7.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -24.8 | -27.7 | Jacobs +2.9 |
| Overall rank | #102 | #105 | Jacobs by 3 |
| Position rank | RB38 | RB39 | |
| Market ADP | 93.9 | 52.0 | Jacobs +41.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | Out | Questionable |
Should I start Josh Jacobs or David Montgomery in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 0.6 projected points (7.6 vs 7.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Josh Jacobs or David Montgomery in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Jacobs. He projects 121.9 fantasy points with -24.8 value over replacement, vs 119.0 points and -27.7 for David Montgomery (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.