Noah Fant vs Brenton Strange
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Brenton Strange this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (9.3 vs 8.2).
Brenton Strange faces CIN, the 5th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Noah Fant faces ATL, the 27th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Noah Fant ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Noah Fant: a clear but modest edge of 5.8 points of value over replacement (-48.6 vs -54.4).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Noah FantNOR | Brenton StrangeJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | ATL | CIN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 8.2 | 9.3 | Strange +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #27 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 149.0 | 143.2 | Fant +5.8 pts |
| Points per game | 8.8 | 8.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -48.6 | -54.4 | Fant +5.8 |
| Overall rank | #126 | #130 | Fant by 4 |
| Position rank | TE17 | TE18 | |
| Market ADP | - | 162.8 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 7 |
Should I start Noah Fant or Brenton Strange in Week 4?
Start Brenton Strange this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (9.3 vs 8.2).
Should I draft Noah Fant or Brenton Strange in 2026 fantasy football?
Noah Fant. He projects 149.0 fantasy points with -48.6 value over replacement, vs 143.2 points and -54.4 for Brenton Strange (TE, PPR).