Breece Hall vs Bucky Irving
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Bucky Irving by 0.9 projected points (11.7 vs 10.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Bucky Irving faces DAL, the 5th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Breece Hall faces CLE, the 28th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Breece Hall ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Breece Hall: a clear but modest edge of 14.8 points of value over replacement (63.6 vs 48.8).
The draft market agrees: Breece Hall goes first at ADP 30.5 vs 46.2 for Bucky Irving.
Health note: Breece Hall carries an injury flag of Out (Quadriceps), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Breece HallNYJ | Bucky IrvingTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | CLE | DAL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 10.9 | 11.7 | Irving +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #28 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 200.2 | 185.4 | Hall +14.8 pts |
| Points per game | 11.8 | 10.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 63.6 | 48.8 | Hall +14.8 |
| Overall rank | #27 | #38 | Hall by 11 |
| Position rank | RB16 | RB19 | |
| Market ADP | 30.5 | 46.2 | Irving +15.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Breece Hall or Bucky Irving in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Bucky Irving by 0.9 projected points (11.7 vs 10.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Breece Hall or Bucky Irving in 2026 fantasy football?
Breece Hall. He projects 200.2 fantasy points with 63.6 value over replacement, vs 185.4 points and 48.8 for Bucky Irving (RB, PPR).