Jacoby Brissett vs Bo Nix
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Jacoby Brissett this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.0 projected points (16.1 vs 15.0).
Jacoby Brissett faces NYG, the 13th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Bo Nix faces SF, the 16th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jacoby Brissett: a clear but modest edge of 12.2 points of value over replacement (0.0 vs -12.2).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Bo Nix first (ADP 109.6 vs 174.1). If the model is right, Jacoby Brissett is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jacoby BrissettARI | Bo NixDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NYG | SF | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 16.1 | 15.0 | Brissett +1.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #13 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 268.7 | 256.5 | Brissett +12.2 pts |
| Points per game | 15.8 | 15.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | -12.2 | Brissett +12.2 |
| Overall rank | #71 | #78 | Brissett by 7 |
| Position rank | QB12 | QB14 | |
| Market ADP | 174.1 | 109.6 | Brissett +64.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 15 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 10 |
Should I start Jacoby Brissett or Bo Nix in Week 4?
Start Jacoby Brissett this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.0 projected points (16.1 vs 15.0).
Should I draft Jacoby Brissett or Bo Nix in 2026 fantasy football?
Jacoby Brissett. He projects 268.7 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 256.5 points and -12.2 for Bo Nix (QB, PPR).