Saquon Barkley vs Ashton Jeanty
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Saquon Barkley by 4.4 points of value over replacement (104.5 vs 100.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market has them practically even (ADP 19.1 vs 19.0), so whichever falls to you is the pick.
Health note: Ashton Jeanty carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Saquon BarkleyPHI | Ashton JeantyLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 238.0 | 233.6 | Barkley +4.4 pts |
| Points per game | 14.0 | 13.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 104.5 | 100.0 | Barkley +4.4 |
| Overall rank | #12 | #13 | Barkley by 1 |
| Position rank | RB8 | RB9 | |
| Market ADP | 19.1 | 19.0 | Even |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Saquon Barkley or Ashton Jeanty in 2026 fantasy football?
Saquon Barkley. He projects 238.0 fantasy points with 104.5 value over replacement, vs 233.6 points and 100.0 for Ashton Jeanty (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.