Saquon Barkley vs Chase Brown
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB9
Saquon Barkley
233.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB11
Chase Brown
222.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Saquon Barkley: a clear but modest edge of 10.3 points of value over replacement (103.3 vs 93.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Chase Brown first (ADP 13.3 vs 19.5). If the model is right, Saquon Barkley is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Saquon BarkleyPHI | Chase BrownCIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 233.1 | 222.7 | Barkley +10.3 pts |
| Points per game | 13.7 | 13.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 103.3 | 93.0 | Barkley +10.3 |
| Overall rank | #13 | #16 | Barkley by 3 |
| Position rank | RB9 | RB11 | |
| Market ADP | 19.5 | 13.3 | Barkley +6.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 6 |
Should I draft Saquon Barkley or Chase Brown in 2026 fantasy football?
Saquon Barkley. He projects 233.1 fantasy points with 103.3 value over replacement, vs 222.7 points and 93.0 for Chase Brown (RB, PPR).