Alvin Kamara vs Jonah Coleman
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 4.5 points of value over replacement (-63.5 vs -68.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jonah Coleman first (ADP 149.1 vs 151.3). If the model is right, Alvin Kamara is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Alvin Kamara carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Alvin KamaraNOR | Jonah ColemanDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 70.1 | 65.6 | Kamara +4.5 pts |
| Points per game | 4.1 | 3.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -63.5 | -68.0 | Kamara +4.5 |
| Overall rank | #154 | #162 | Kamara by 8 |
| Position rank | RB54 | RB56 | |
| Market ADP | 151.3 | 149.1 | Kamara +2.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I draft Alvin Kamara or Jonah Coleman in 2026 fantasy football?
Alvin Kamara. He projects 70.1 fantasy points with -63.5 value over replacement, vs 65.6 points and -68.0 for Jonah Coleman (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.