Alec Pierce vs Michael Pittman Jr.

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

WR36
Alec Pierce
IND · Bye 13
163.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR38
Michael Pittman Jr.
PIT · Bye 9
157.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Alec Pierce: a clear but modest edge of 5.9 points of value over replacement (-16.5 vs -22.5).

The draft market agrees: Alec Pierce goes first at ADP 68.7 vs 74.7 for Michael Pittman Jr..

Health note: Alec Pierce carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.

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Mock draft this pick
Alec PierceIND Michael Pittman Jr.PIT Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 163.7 157.8 Pierce +5.9 pts
Points per game 9.6 9.3
Value over replacement (VBD) -16.5 -22.5 Pierce +5.9
Overall rank #95 #103 Pierce by 8
Position rank WR36 WR38
Market ADP 68.7 74.7 Jr. +6.0 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 6 Rd 7
Bye week 13 9
Injury flag Questionable None

Should I draft Alec Pierce or Michael Pittman Jr. in 2026 fantasy football?

Alec Pierce. He projects 163.7 fantasy points with -16.5 value over replacement, vs 157.8 points and -22.5 for Michael Pittman Jr. (WR, PPR).

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