A.J. Brown vs Davante Adams
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
This week is a coin flip. The model leans A.J. Brown by 0.8 projected points (13.9 vs 13.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
A.J. Brown faces CHI, the 9th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Davante Adams faces LV, the 14th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes A.J. Brown: a clear but modest edge of 8.6 points of value over replacement (39.3 vs 30.7).
The draft market agrees: A.J. Brown goes first at ADP 16.6 vs 41.2 for Davante Adams.
Health note: A.J. Brown carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Davante Adams carries an injury flag of Out (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| A.J. BrownNWE | Davante AdamsLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | CHI | LV | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 13.9 | 13.1 | Brown +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #9 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 224.6 | 216.0 | Brown +8.6 pts |
| Points per game | 13.2 | 12.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 39.3 | 30.7 | Brown +8.6 |
| Overall rank | #41 | #46 | Brown by 5 |
| Position rank | WR13 | WR15 | |
| Market ADP | 16.6 | 41.2 | Adams +24.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | Out |
Should I start A.J. Brown or Davante Adams in Week 7?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans A.J. Brown by 0.8 projected points (13.9 vs 13.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft A.J. Brown or Davante Adams in 2026 fantasy football?
A.J. Brown. He projects 224.6 fantasy points with 39.3 value over replacement, vs 216.0 points and 30.7 for Davante Adams (WR, PPR).