Zay Flowers vs Tee Higgins
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Zay Flowers this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.5 projected points (15.3 vs 13.8).
Zay Flowers faces TEN, the 1st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Tee Higgins faces JAX, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Zay Flowers, and it isn't close: 17.5 points of value over replacement separate them (47.7 vs 30.2).
The draft market agrees: Zay Flowers goes first at ADP 24.8 vs 37.1 for Tee Higgins.
| Zay FlowersBAL | Tee HigginsCIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | TEN | JAX | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 15.3 | 13.8 | Flowers +1.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #1 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 228.0 | 210.5 | Flowers +17.5 pts |
| Points per game | 13.4 | 12.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 47.7 | 30.2 | Flowers +17.5 |
| Overall rank | #36 | #44 | Flowers by 8 |
| Position rank | WR12 | WR14 | |
| Market ADP | 24.8 | 37.1 | Higgins +12.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 6 |
Should I start Zay Flowers or Tee Higgins in Week 4?
Start Zay Flowers this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.5 projected points (15.3 vs 13.8).
Should I draft Zay Flowers or Tee Higgins in 2026 fantasy football?
Zay Flowers. He projects 228.0 fantasy points with 47.7 value over replacement, vs 210.5 points and 30.2 for Tee Higgins (WR, PPR).