Drake London vs Zay Flowers
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Zay Flowers by 0.8 projected points (15.3 vs 14.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Zay Flowers faces TEN, the 1st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Drake London faces NO, the 17th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Drake London ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Drake London, and it isn't close: 18.3 points of value over replacement separate them (66.0 vs 47.7).
The draft market agrees: Drake London goes first at ADP 13.5 vs 24.8 for Zay Flowers.
| Drake LondonATL | Zay FlowersBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NO | TEN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 14.5 | 15.3 | Flowers +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #17 | #1 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 246.3 | 228.0 | London +18.3 pts |
| Points per game | 14.5 | 13.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 66.0 | 47.7 | London +18.3 |
| Overall rank | #28 | #36 | London by 8 |
| Position rank | WR9 | WR12 | |
| Market ADP | 13.5 | 24.8 | Flowers +11.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 13 |
Should I start Drake London or Zay Flowers in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Zay Flowers by 0.8 projected points (15.3 vs 14.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Drake London or Zay Flowers in 2026 fantasy football?
Drake London. He projects 246.3 fantasy points with 66.0 value over replacement, vs 228.0 points and 47.7 for Zay Flowers (WR, PPR).