Zach Ertz vs T.J. Hockenson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
TE18
Zach Ertz
118.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
TE21
T.J. Hockenson
107.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Zach Ertz: a clear but modest edge of 10.8 points of value over replacement (-62.1 vs -73.0).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Zach ErtzWAS | T.J. HockensonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 118.1 | 107.3 | Ertz +10.8 pts |
| Points per game | 6.9 | 6.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -62.1 | -73.0 | Ertz +10.8 |
| Overall rank | #152 | #168 | Ertz by 16 |
| Position rank | TE18 | TE21 | |
| Market ADP | - | 163.7 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 |
Should I draft Zach Ertz or T.J. Hockenson in 2026 fantasy football?
Zach Ertz. He projects 118.1 fantasy points with -62.1 value over replacement, vs 107.3 points and -73.0 for T.J. Hockenson (TE, PPR).