Isaiah Likely vs Zach Ertz
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
TE16
Isaiah Likely
127.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
TE18
Zach Ertz
118.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Isaiah Likely: a clear but modest edge of 9.1 points of value over replacement (-53.0 vs -62.1).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Isaiah LikelyNYG | Zach ErtzWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 127.2 | 118.1 | Likely +9.1 pts |
| Points per game | 7.5 | 6.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -53.0 | -62.1 | Likely +9.1 |
| Overall rank | #136 | #152 | Likely by 16 |
| Position rank | TE16 | TE18 | |
| Market ADP | 136.3 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | - | |
| Bye week | 8 | 7 |
Should I draft Isaiah Likely or Zach Ertz in 2026 fantasy football?
Isaiah Likely. He projects 127.2 fantasy points with -53.0 value over replacement, vs 118.1 points and -62.1 for Zach Ertz (TE, PPR).