Zach Ertz vs Juwan Johnson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
TE18
Zach Ertz
118.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
TE20
Juwan Johnson
112.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Zach Ertz: a clear but modest edge of 6.0 points of value over replacement (-59.9 vs -65.9).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Zach ErtzWAS | Juwan JohnsonNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 118.1 | 112.1 | Ertz +6.0 pts |
| Points per game | 6.9 | 6.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -59.9 | -65.9 | Ertz +6.0 |
| Overall rank | #143 | #157 | Ertz by 14 |
| Position rank | TE18 | TE20 | |
| Market ADP | - | 149.5 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 |
Should I draft Zach Ertz or Juwan Johnson in 2026 fantasy football?
Zach Ertz. He projects 118.1 fantasy points with -59.9 value over replacement, vs 112.1 points and -65.9 for Juwan Johnson (TE, PPR).