Nico Collins vs Tee Higgins
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Nico Collins by 0.1 projected points (13.9 vs 13.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Nico Collins faces DAL, the 11th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Tee Higgins faces JAX, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Nico Collins, and it isn't close: 20.3 points of value over replacement separate them (50.4 vs 30.2).
The draft market agrees: Nico Collins goes first at ADP 19.6 vs 37.1 for Tee Higgins.
| Nico CollinsHOU | Tee HigginsCIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | DAL | JAX | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.9 | 13.7 | Collins +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #11 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 230.8 | 210.5 | Collins +20.3 pts |
| Points per game | 13.6 | 12.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 50.4 | 30.2 | Collins +20.3 |
| Overall rank | #35 | #43 | Collins by 8 |
| Position rank | WR11 | WR14 | |
| Market ADP | 19.6 | 37.1 | Higgins +17.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 6 |
Should I start Nico Collins or Tee Higgins in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Nico Collins by 0.1 projected points (13.9 vs 13.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Nico Collins or Tee Higgins in 2026 fantasy football?
Nico Collins. He projects 230.8 fantasy points with 50.4 value over replacement, vs 210.5 points and 30.2 for Tee Higgins (WR, PPR).