Stefon Diggs vs Makai Lemon
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Stefon Diggs by 1.0 projected points (9.6 vs 8.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Stefon Diggs faces BUF, the 13th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Makai Lemon faces LA, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Stefon Diggs: a clear but modest edge of 9.3 points of value over replacement (-16.3 vs -25.6).
The draft market agrees: Stefon Diggs goes first at ADP 96.8 vs 131.2 for Makai Lemon.
| Stefon DiggsNWE | Makai LemonPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | BUF | LA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 9.6 | 8.6 | Diggs +1.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #13 | #23 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 162.1 | 152.8 | Diggs +9.3 pts |
| Points per game | 9.5 | 9.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -16.3 | -25.6 | Diggs +9.3 |
| Overall rank | #92 | #100 | Diggs by 8 |
| Position rank | WR38 | WR41 | |
| Market ADP | 96.8 | 131.2 | Lemon +34.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 10 |
Should I start Stefon Diggs or Makai Lemon in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Stefon Diggs by 1.0 projected points (9.6 vs 8.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Stefon Diggs or Makai Lemon in 2026 fantasy football?
Stefon Diggs. He projects 162.1 fantasy points with -16.3 value over replacement, vs 152.8 points and -25.6 for Makai Lemon (WR, PPR).