Lil'Jordan Humphrey vs Skyler Bell
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Skyler Bell by 0.5 projected points (5.5 vs 5.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Skyler Bell faces NE, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Lil'Jordan Humphrey faces SF, the 18th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Lil'Jordan Humphrey ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Lil'Jordan Humphrey by 2.9 points of value over replacement (-94.4 vs -97.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Lil'Jordan Humphrey carries an injury flag of Out (Coach's Decision), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Skyler Bell carries an injury flag of Out (Coach's Decision), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN | Skyler BellBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | SF | NE | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 5.0 | 5.5 | Bell +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #18 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 85.9 | 83.0 | Humphrey +2.9 pts |
| Points per game | 5.1 | 4.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -94.4 | -97.3 | Humphrey +2.9 |
| Overall rank | #186 | #196 | Humphrey by 10 |
| Position rank | WR71 | WR74 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Out | Out |
Should I start Lil'Jordan Humphrey or Skyler Bell in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Skyler Bell by 0.5 projected points (5.5 vs 5.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Lil'Jordan Humphrey or Skyler Bell in 2026 fantasy football?
Lil'Jordan Humphrey. He projects 85.9 fantasy points with -94.4 value over replacement, vs 83.0 points and -97.3 for Skyler Bell (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.