Lil'Jordan Humphrey vs KaVontae Turpin
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Lil'Jordan Humphrey by 0.2 projected points (5.0 vs 4.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey faces SF, the 18th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. KaVontae Turpin faces HOU, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Lil'Jordan Humphrey by 0.7 points of value over replacement (-94.4 vs -95.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Lil'Jordan Humphrey carries an injury flag of Out (Coach's Decision), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN | KaVontae TurpinDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | SF | HOU | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 5.0 | 4.9 | Humphrey +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #18 | #23 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 85.9 | 85.2 | Humphrey +0.7 pts |
| Points per game | 5.1 | 5.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -94.4 | -95.1 | Humphrey +0.7 |
| Overall rank | #186 | #190 | Humphrey by 4 |
| Position rank | WR71 | WR72 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 10 | 14 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Lil'Jordan Humphrey or KaVontae Turpin in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Lil'Jordan Humphrey by 0.2 projected points (5.0 vs 4.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Lil'Jordan Humphrey or KaVontae Turpin in 2026 fantasy football?
Lil'Jordan Humphrey. He projects 85.9 fantasy points with -94.4 value over replacement, vs 85.2 points and -95.1 for KaVontae Turpin (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.