Tutu Atwell vs Lil'Jordan Humphrey
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Lil'Jordan Humphrey by 0.5 projected points (5.0 vs 4.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey faces SF, the 18th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Tutu Atwell faces MIN, the 31st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tutu Atwell ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tutu Atwell by 4.8 points of value over replacement (-89.6 vs -94.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Tutu Atwell carries an injury flag of Out (Coach's Decision), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Lil'Jordan Humphrey carries an injury flag of Out (Coach's Decision), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tutu AtwellMIA | Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | MIN | SF | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 4.5 | 5.0 | Humphrey +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #31 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 90.7 | 85.9 | Atwell +4.8 pts |
| Points per game | 5.3 | 5.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -89.6 | -94.4 | Atwell +4.8 |
| Overall rank | #167 | #186 | Atwell by 19 |
| Position rank | WR69 | WR71 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | Out | Out |
Should I start Tutu Atwell or Lil'Jordan Humphrey in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Lil'Jordan Humphrey by 0.5 projected points (5.0 vs 4.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tutu Atwell or Lil'Jordan Humphrey in 2026 fantasy football?
Tutu Atwell. He projects 90.7 fantasy points with -89.6 value over replacement, vs 85.9 points and -94.4 for Lil'Jordan Humphrey (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.