Tyler Allgeier vs Kyle Monangai

Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.

RB42
Tyler Allgeier
ARI · Bye 14
117.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
Season-long pick
VS
RB44
Kyle Monangai
CHI · Bye 10
107.9
projected 2026 points (PPR)

Who to start in Week 7

This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Allgeier by 0.7 projected points (7.0 vs 6.3), close enough that either call is defensible.

Tyler Allgeier faces DEN, the 14th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kyle Monangai faces NE, the 18th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.

This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.

The season-long call

The model takes Tyler Allgeier: a clear but modest edge of 9.2 points of value over replacement (-41.9 vs -51.1).

The room sees it the other way: drafters take Kyle Monangai first (ADP 108.8 vs 154.9). If the model is right, Tyler Allgeier is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.

Health note: Kyle Monangai carries an injury flag of Out (Toe), which is already reflected in his projection.

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Tyler AllgeierARI Kyle MonangaiCHI Edge
Week 7 opponent DEN NE
Projected Week 7 points 7.0 6.3 Allgeier +0.7 pts
Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) #14 #18
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 117.1 107.9 Allgeier +9.2 pts
Points per game 6.9 6.3
Value over replacement (VBD) -41.9 -51.1 Allgeier +9.2
Overall rank #120 #127 Allgeier by 7
Position rank RB42 RB44
Market ADP 154.9 108.8 Allgeier +46.1 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 13 Rd 9
Bye week 14 10
Injury flag None Out

Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Kyle Monangai in Week 7?

This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Allgeier by 0.7 projected points (7.0 vs 6.3), close enough that either call is defensible.

Should I draft Tyler Allgeier or Kyle Monangai in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyler Allgeier. He projects 117.1 fantasy points with -41.9 value over replacement, vs 107.9 points and -51.1 for Kyle Monangai (RB, PPR).