Keon Coleman vs Roman Wilson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Keon Coleman by 0.1 projected points (5.1 vs 5.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Keon Coleman faces LA, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Roman Wilson faces IND, the 7th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Keon Coleman by 0.8 points of value over replacement (-100.0 vs -100.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Keon ColemanBUF | Roman WilsonPIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | LA | IND | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 5.1 | 5.0 | Coleman +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #5 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 80.3 | 79.5 | Coleman +0.8 pts |
| Points per game | 4.7 | 4.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -100.0 | -100.8 | Coleman +0.8 |
| Overall rank | #198 | #200 | Coleman by 2 |
| Position rank | WR73 | WR74 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 9 |
Should I start Keon Coleman or Roman Wilson in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Keon Coleman by 0.1 projected points (5.1 vs 5.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Keon Coleman or Roman Wilson in 2026 fantasy football?
Keon Coleman. He projects 80.3 fantasy points with -100.0 value over replacement, vs 79.5 points and -100.8 for Roman Wilson (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.