KaVontae Turpin vs Keon Coleman
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans KaVontae Turpin by 0.2 projected points (5.3 vs 5.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
KaVontae Turpin faces TB, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Keon Coleman faces LA, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans KaVontae Turpin by 3.7 points of value over replacement (-96.3 vs -100.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| KaVontae TurpinDAL | Keon ColemanBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | TB | LA | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 5.3 | 5.1 | Turpin +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #4 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 84.0 | 80.3 | Turpin +3.7 pts |
| Points per game | 4.9 | 4.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -96.3 | -100.0 | Turpin +3.7 |
| Overall rank | #192 | #198 | Turpin by 6 |
| Position rank | WR70 | WR73 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 14 | 7 |
Should I start KaVontae Turpin or Keon Coleman in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans KaVontae Turpin by 0.2 projected points (5.3 vs 5.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft KaVontae Turpin or Keon Coleman in 2026 fantasy football?
KaVontae Turpin. He projects 84.0 fantasy points with -96.3 value over replacement, vs 80.3 points and -100.0 for Keon Coleman (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.