Tutu Atwell vs Keon Coleman
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Keon Coleman by 0.7 projected points (5.1 vs 4.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Keon Coleman faces LA, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Tutu Atwell faces CIN, the 30th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tutu Atwell ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tutu Atwell by 2.7 points of value over replacement (-97.4 vs -100.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Tutu AtwellMIA | Keon ColemanBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | CIN | LA | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 4.4 | 5.1 | Coleman +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #30 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 83.0 | 80.3 | Atwell +2.7 pts |
| Points per game | 4.9 | 4.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -97.4 | -100.0 | Atwell +2.7 |
| Overall rank | #193 | #198 | Atwell by 5 |
| Position rank | WR71 | WR73 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 7 |
Should I start Tutu Atwell or Keon Coleman in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Keon Coleman by 0.7 projected points (5.1 vs 4.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tutu Atwell or Keon Coleman in 2026 fantasy football?
Tutu Atwell. He projects 83.0 fantasy points with -97.4 value over replacement, vs 80.3 points and -100.0 for Keon Coleman (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.