Ray Davis vs Kendre Miller
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.3 projected points (2.9 vs 2.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ray Davis faces LAC, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kendre Miller faces LV, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 1.0 points of value over replacement (-91.8 vs -92.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Ray DavisBUF | Kendre MillerNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | LAC | LV | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 2.9 | 2.6 | Davis +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #3 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 44.7 | 43.7 | Davis +1.0 pts |
| Points per game | 2.6 | 2.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -91.8 | -92.9 | Davis +1.0 |
| Overall rank | #180 | #184 | Davis by 4 |
| Position rank | RB62 | RB65 | |
| Market ADP | 177.1 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 15 | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 |
Should I start Ray Davis or Kendre Miller in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.3 projected points (2.9 vs 2.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Ray Davis or Kendre Miller in 2026 fantasy football?
Ray Davis. He projects 44.7 fantasy points with -91.8 value over replacement, vs 43.7 points and -92.9 for Kendre Miller (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.