Isaiah Davis vs Ray Davis
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.5 projected points (2.9 vs 2.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ray Davis faces LAC, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Isaiah Davis faces DET, the 28th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Isaiah Davis ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Isaiah Davis by 0.4 points of value over replacement (-91.4 vs -91.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Isaiah DavisNYJ | Ray DavisBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | DET | LAC | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 2.5 | 2.9 | Davis +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #28 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 45.2 | 44.7 | Davis +0.4 pts |
| Points per game | 2.7 | 2.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -91.4 | -91.8 | Davis +0.4 |
| Overall rank | #177 | #180 | Davis by 3 |
| Position rank | RB59 | RB62 | |
| Market ADP | - | 177.1 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 15 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 7 |
Should I start Isaiah Davis or Ray Davis in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.5 projected points (2.9 vs 2.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Isaiah Davis or Ray Davis in 2026 fantasy football?
Isaiah Davis. He projects 45.2 fantasy points with -91.4 value over replacement, vs 44.7 points and -91.8 for Ray Davis (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.