Kimani Vidal vs Kaelon Black
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kimani Vidal by 0.0 projected points (2.7 vs 2.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kimani Vidal faces DEN, the 26th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kaelon Black faces SEA, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Kimani Vidal by 1.8 points of value over replacement (-87.8 vs -89.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Kimani VidalLAC | Kaelon BlackSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | DEN | SEA | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 2.7 | 2.7 | Even |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #26 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 48.8 | 47.0 | Vidal +1.8 pts |
| Points per game | 2.9 | 2.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -87.8 | -89.6 | Vidal +1.8 |
| Overall rank | #163 | #165 | Vidal by 2 |
| Position rank | RB53 | RB54 | |
| Market ADP | - | 166.2 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 |
Should I start Kimani Vidal or Kaelon Black in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kimani Vidal by 0.0 projected points (2.7 vs 2.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Kimani Vidal or Kaelon Black in 2026 fantasy football?
Kimani Vidal. He projects 48.8 fantasy points with -87.8 value over replacement, vs 47.0 points and -89.6 for Kaelon Black (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.