Jonathon Brooks vs MarShawn Lloyd
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jonathon Brooks by 0.8 projected points (6.9 vs 6.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jonathon Brooks faces DET, the 15th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. MarShawn Lloyd faces TB, the 13th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jonathon Brooks: a clear but modest edge of 13.9 points of value over replacement (-20.1 vs -34.0).
The draft market agrees: Jonathon Brooks goes first at ADP 88.5 vs 112.3 for MarShawn Lloyd.
Health note: Jonathon Brooks carries an injury flag of IR (Abdomen), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jonathon BrooksCAR | MarShawn LloydGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | DET | TB | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.9 | 6.1 | Brooks +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #15 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 116.5 | 102.6 | Brooks +13.9 pts |
| Points per game | 6.9 | 6.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -20.1 | -34.0 | Brooks +13.9 |
| Overall rank | #96 | #107 | Brooks by 11 |
| Position rank | RB34 | RB37 | |
| Market ADP | 88.5 | 112.3 | Lloyd +23.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start Jonathon Brooks or MarShawn Lloyd in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jonathon Brooks by 0.8 projected points (6.9 vs 6.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jonathon Brooks or MarShawn Lloyd in 2026 fantasy football?
Jonathon Brooks. He projects 116.5 fantasy points with -20.1 value over replacement, vs 102.6 points and -34.0 for MarShawn Lloyd (RB, PPR).