J.K. Dobbins vs Jonathon Brooks
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans J.K. Dobbins by 0.2 projected points (7.3 vs 7.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
J.K. Dobbins faces LA, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jonathon Brooks faces CLE, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes J.K. Dobbins: a clear but modest edge of 9.7 points of value over replacement (-7.4 vs -17.2).
The draft market agrees: J.K. Dobbins goes first at ADP 85.5 vs 88.5 for Jonathon Brooks.
Health note: Jonathon Brooks carries an injury flag of IR (Abdomen), which is already reflected in his projection.
| J.K. DobbinsDEN | Jonathon BrooksCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | LA | CLE | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 7.3 | 7.1 | Dobbins +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #22 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 129.1 | 119.4 | Dobbins +9.7 pts |
| Points per game | 7.6 | 7.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -7.4 | -17.2 | Dobbins +9.7 |
| Overall rank | #81 | #92 | Dobbins by 11 |
| Position rank | RB31 | RB32 | |
| Market ADP | 85.5 | 88.5 | Brooks +3.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 5 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start J.K. Dobbins or Jonathon Brooks in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans J.K. Dobbins by 0.2 projected points (7.3 vs 7.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft J.K. Dobbins or Jonathon Brooks in 2026 fantasy football?
J.K. Dobbins. He projects 129.1 fantasy points with -7.4 value over replacement, vs 119.4 points and -17.2 for Jonathon Brooks (RB, PPR).